CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality
24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknown
Market data
Updated 122 days ago
Stale
Dec 13, 23, 8:09 PMMar 1, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
Yes
0.0 pts
100%
No
0.0 pts
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ismail Haniyeh remains in the leadership of Hamas uninterrupted from December 13 through March 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for Haniyeh still in Hamas leadership through March 1??
Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 24, 2026.
When does Haniyeh still in Hamas leadership through March 1? resolve?
Haniyeh still in Hamas leadership through March 1? is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2024.
How is Haniyeh still in Hamas leadership through March 1? settled?
Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ismail Haniyeh remains in the leadership of Hamas uninterrupted from December 13 through March 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.