PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Spain (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probabilitySpain 100%+41.5ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$222.7K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Market data
Updated 20 days ago
StaleJul 3, 26, 10:06 AMJul 6, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Spain59%
Portugal36%
Neither0%
100%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Spain
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall85% match · auto | Low | 99% | — | $1.4M | $1.1M | 20 days ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 100% | — | $222.7K | $0 | 20 days ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Portugal vs Spain: First Team to Score
4.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Spain (99%)
+40.0pt98%
-4.0pt1%
-36.0pt1%
49 • Low qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.5M
24h Vol$1.4M
KALSHIRules
In the upcoming match between Portugal and Spain, scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Portugal" if Portugal are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
- This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
- If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither".
- This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.0k99.9%POLYMARKETPortugal to score first vs. Spain? — NoMoistLotion21d ago
POLYMARKETPortugal to score first vs. Spain? — NoMoistLotion21d ago$1.0k46.0%KALSHISpain — No21d ago
KALSHISpain — No21d ago$1.4k46.0%KALSHISpain — No21d ago
KALSHISpain — No21d ago$1.5k91.0%KALSHINo Goal — No21d ago
KALSHINo Goal — No21d ago$1.8k91.0%KALSHINo Goal — No21d ago
KALSHINo Goal — No21d ago$1.7k92.0%KALSHINo Goal — No21d ago
KALSHINo Goal — No21d ago$2.4k5.0%KALSHINo Goal — Yes21d ago
KALSHINo Goal — Yes21d agoVolume trend
$222.7kJul 44d of dataJul 7
Related Markets
Lincoln Red Imps vs Mjallby
$40.8KLincoln Red Imps advances: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
2030 FIFA World Cup Champion
$29.3KQatar: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which team will win the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
$19.4KSpain: 20.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSCrvena Zvezda vs Larne
$10.1KLarne advances: 5%KALSHI
KALSHIWill Lewandowski play in the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
$750Yes: 9.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich country outside Europe and South America will be the first to win the men’s FIFA World Cup?
$500USA: 10.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
KuCoin Marks Major Sponsorship Milestone as Ambassador Pogačar Wins Record Fifth Tour de FranceBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket odds: Kane jumps to 41% in 2026 Ballon d'Or marketBlockchain.News
Worldcoin’s WLD Jumps 8% on Grayscale ETF FilingDecrypt
Grayscale files for Worldcoin ETF as WLD price breaks higherCrypto News
Polymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup finalBlockchain.News
Prediction markets just crushed traditional sportsbooks in a massive $50 billion World Cup breakoutCoindeskRules
In the upcoming match between Portugal and Spain, scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Portugal" if Portugal are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
- This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
- If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither".
- This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.