PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Kimi Antonelli (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probabilityKimi Antonelli 100%+60.5ptLeader of 28 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$918.2K
Liquidity
$206.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+68.0 pts
Market data
Updated 84 days ago
StaleApr 22, 26, 11:39 AMMay 10, 26, 8:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Lewis Hamilton3%
Oscar Piastri17%
George Russell8%
Kimi Antonelli33%
Charles Leclerc22%
Lando Norris0%
Max Verstappen3%
Sergio Perez0%
Fernando Alonso1%
Alexander Albon1%
Gabriel Bortoleto1%
Esteban Ocon0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Kimi Antonelli
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $918.2K | $206.3K | 84 days ago | |
 KalshiMost active67% match · auto | Low | 65% | — | $2.1M | $24.3K | 84 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Miami Grand Prix Winner
7.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Andrea Kimi Antonelli (24%)
+26.0pt65%
+3.0pt24%
+7.0pt12%
+19 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.2M
24h Vol$2.1M
KALSHIRules
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026.
- If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race.
- The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
- Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
- The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026.
- If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race.
- The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
- Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
- The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.