This market resolved: Magnus Carlsen
Resolved: Aug 15, 2026, 7:34 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Magnus Carlsen
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
77%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 15, 2026, 7:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Magnus Carlsen 100%+22.4ptLeader of 28 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$13.4K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 16 days ago
StaleProbability Timeline
Alireza Firouzja21%
Nihal Sarin4%
Hikaru Nakamura0%
Denis Lazavik19%
Hans Moke Niemann4%
Arjun Erigaisi6%
Magnus Carlsen98%
A0%
B0%
C0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Chess tournament at the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC 2026), currently scheduled for August 11, 2026 to August 15, 2026.
- If this tournament is postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
- If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup (https://esportsworldcup.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
