Eurovision Winner 2026
96.4 pts (24h)
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Bulgaria (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
Bulgaria 100%+96.4ptLeader of 50 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$22M
Liquidity
$7.8M
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+99.3 pts
Market data
Updated 71 days ago
StaleDec 6, 25, 12:56 AMMay 16, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Bulgaria100%
Albania0%
Austria0%
Belgium0%
Croatia1%
Czechia1%
Estonia0%
France8%
Germany0%
Israel0%
Latvia0%
Luxembourg1%
Moldova1%
Norway1%
Portugal0%
San Marino0%
Sweden3%
Ukraine2%
Armenia0%
Country C0%
Country E0%
Country G0%
Country I0%
Country K0%
Country M0%
Country O0%
Australia0%
Azerbaijan0%
Cyprus1%
Denmark6%
Finland42%
Georgia0%
Greece12%
Italy3%
Lithuania0%
Malta1%
Montenegro0%
Poland0%
Romania3%
Serbia0%
Switzerland0%
United Kingdom0%
Country B0%
Country D0%
Country F0%
Country H0%
Country J0%
Country L0%
Country N0%
Other0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Bulgaria
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $22M | $7.8M | 71 days ago | |
 Kalshi65% match · verified | Low | 99% | — | $1.8M | $33.4K | 72 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Eurovision Winner 2026?
52.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Bulgaria (99%)
+96.0pt80.5%
-52.0pt0.8%
-19.0pt0.8%
+22 more outcomes
34 • Low qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidity
Total Vol$5.4M
24h Vol$1.8M
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
- If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
- If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other".
- All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
- If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
- If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other".
- All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.