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Eurovision Winner 2026?

Eurovision Winner 2026?

8mo
KalshiKalshiUS residents onlyKYC required2% fee
Market quality 28Low qualityThin market14pt disagreement

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Decision support

Current implied probability

Bulgaria 1%

Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
Bid / Ask

1.0% / 2.0%

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Last updated: Apr 5, 10:38 PM

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026, 3:00 PM

24h Volume

$47.8

Liquidity

$5.7K

Spread

100.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-

Low liquidityThin marketHigh ambiguity
Started Dec 24, 2025, 3:00 PMEnds Dec 31, 2026, 3:00 PM

Trends

No chart data available.
Outcome24hChance
Bulgaria
Bulgaria
0.0%1%
Finland
Finland
-1.0%38%
Greece
Greece
0.0%8%
Israel
Israel
+1.0%5%
Czechia
Czechia
0.0%2%
Italy
Italy
+2.0%4%
Sweden
Sweden
0.0%4%
Cyprus
Cyprus
0.0%2%
France
France
-1.0%11%
Germany
Germany
0.0%1%
Switzerland
Switzerland
0.0%1%
Denmark
Denmark
-1.0%10%
Romania
Romania
-1.0%3%
Albania
Albania
0.0%1%
Armenia
Armenia
0.0%1%
Australia
Australia
0.0%7%
Austria
Austria
0.0%1%
Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan
0.0%1%
Belgium
Belgium
0.0%1%
Croatia
Croatia
0.0%1%
Estonia
Estonia
0.0%1%
Georgia
Georgia
0.0%1%
Latvia
Latvia
0.0%1%
Lithuania
Lithuania
0.0%1%
Luxembourg
Luxembourg
0.0%1%
Polymarket

Also available on Polymarket

14pt disagreement
KalshiKalshi
Last updated: 5 minutes ago
Finland
38%
France
11%
Denmark
10%
Greece
8%
Vol

$6.3K

24h Vol

$47.8

Liq

$5.7K

Spread: Wide spreadLiquidity: Low liquidity
US residents onlyKYC required2% feeSettles in USD
PolymarketPolymarket
Last updated: 12 minutes ago
Finland
▼ 1pt37%
France
▲ +2pt13%
Denmark
▲ +1pt11%
Greece
▼ 2pt6%
Vol

$69.4M

24h Vol

$2.2M

Liq

$12.2M

Spread: Wide spreadLiquidity: High liquidity
Not available in USNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

Rules

If Albania wins the Eurovision Song Contest, then the market resolves to Yes.

  • If Armenia wins the Eurovision Song Contest, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Australia wins the Eurovision Song Contest, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Austria wins the Eurovision Song Contest, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Azerbaijan wins the Eurovision Song Contest, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Belgium wins the Eurovision Song Contest, then the market resolves to Yes.