PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Down (100%)
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, 4:48 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 28, 2026, 4:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Down
- Recorded
- Jul 28, 2026, 5:28 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityDown 100%+0.6pt
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$90.6K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJul 26, 26, 4:07 PMJul 28, 26, 4:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Up0%
Down100%
Coin Price Context
Coin price movements are shown for context and do not imply causation.
ETH$1.89K → $1.89K+0.0%
0%
100%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.1k50.0%POLYMARKETUpeasyclap2d ago
POLYMARKETUpeasyclap2d agoVolume trend
$90.6kJul 273d of dataJul 29
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 28 '26 12:00 ET candle.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 28 '26 12:00 ET candle.
- If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
- Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.