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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 17, 2026, 5:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 4? — Over 100%Leader of 46 outcomes
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 4? — Over 100%Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$901.8K
Liquidity
$123.4K
High liquidityOpen interest
$655.2
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 17, 26, 6:39 AM UTCOct 17, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Dota 2: Royal Bear vs Xipto Esports - Game 2 Winner — Royal Bear51%
Dota 2: Royal Bear vs Xipto Esports - Game 3 Winner — Royal Bear50%
Dota 2: Royal Bear vs Xipto Esports - Game 4 Winner — Royal Bear80%
Game Handicap: RB (-1.5) vs Xipto Esports (+1.5) — Royal Bear80%
Royal Bear94%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 — Over47%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? — Over50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 4? — Over100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? — Over50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 4? — Over100%
Any Player Rampage50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 5? — Over53%
Any Player Rampage50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Ends in Daytime51%
Dota 2: Royal Bear vs Xipto Esports - Game 1 Winner — Royal Bear56%
Game Handicap: RB (-2.5) vs Xipto Esports (+2.5) — Royal Bear52%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 — Over20%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? — Over50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3? — Over50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? — Over52%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3? — Over49%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 4? — Over100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 4? — Over100%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Both Teams Beat RoshanWon
Before close: 91% ·
Ends in DaytimeWon
Before close: 92% ·
Ends in DaytimeWon
Before close: 91% ·
Dota 2: Royal Bear vs Xipto Esports - Game 2 Winner — Royal BearWon
Before close: 100% ·
Dota 2: Royal Bear vs Xipto Esports - Game 3 Winner — Royal BearWon
Before close: 100% ·
Dota 2: Royal Bear vs Xipto Esports - Game 4 Winner — Royal BearWon
Before close: 100% ·
Game Handicap: RB (-1.5) vs Xipto Esports (+1.5) — Royal BearWon
Before close: 100% ·
Royal BearWon
Before close: 100% ·
Games Total: O/U 3.5 — OverWon
Before close: 100% ·
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? — OverWon
Before close: 98% ·
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? — OverWon
Before close: 98% ·
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? — OverWon
Before close: 98% ·
Any Player RampageResolved
Before close: 50% ·
Both Teams Beat RoshanResolved
Before close: 50% ·
Ends in DaytimeResolved
Before close: 50% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand Final match between the named outcome and Xipto Esports in the DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.
- This market will resolve to "the named outcome" if the named outcome win the match against Xipto Esports.
- This market will resolve to "Xipto Esports" if Xipto Esports win the match against the named outcome.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 17, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET).
- If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played.
