Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 4:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 55%Leader of 3 outcomes
December 31 55%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$268.9
Liquidity
$730.4
Low liquidityOpen interest
$604.7
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-8.4 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 19, 26, 3:50 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Valve release a new Dota 2 gameplay patch before November 2026?
Manifold MarketsDota 2: Hokori vs potn9ki (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C
PolymarketDota 2: OG vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs
PolymarketWill there be a Dota 3 announced before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsLoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases Dota 2 gameplay patch 7.42 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, "patch 7.42" refers to a gameplay update officially titled "7.42" by Valve.
- If Valve gives the next numbered gameplay update after the 7.41 series a different number (e.g., "7.50" or "8.00"), that update will also qualify.
- Lettered updates to the 7.41 series (e.g., "7.41g"), hotfixes, cosmetic or event updates, and updates without a new patch number will not qualify.
- The patch will be considered released when it is live in the public Dota 2 client and available to all players.
