Did US GDP grow more than 2.5% in Q4 2022?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Jan 26, 2023, 3:46 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
17 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
0.0% / 100.0%
Spread
100.0 pt
Wide spread7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleJan 4, 23, 5:15 PMJan 26, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
If the BEA reports an annual rate of change of more than 2.5% in real GDP from the preceding quarter for Q4 of 2022, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be reporting from the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis, specifically the GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2022.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product, scheduled to be released on January 26, 2023.
- Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate".
- The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Did US GDP grow more than 2.5% in Q4 2022??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 24, 2026.
- When does Did US GDP grow more than 2.5% in Q4 2022? resolve?
- Did US GDP grow more than 2.5% in Q4 2022? is scheduled to resolve on January 26, 2023.
- How is Did US GDP grow more than 2.5% in Q4 2022? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: If the BEA reports an annual rate of change of more than 2.5% in real GDP from the preceding quarter for Q4 of 2022, this market will resolve to "Yes".