PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Spread -3.5 95%+34.0ptLeader of 124 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.3K
Liquidity
$246.4K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Aug 25, 26, 11:35 PMSep 5, 26, 7:30 PM
Trends
Rules
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET: If Texas State wins, the market will resolve to "Texas State".
- If Texas wins, the market will resolve to "Texas".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Texas is 98%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Texas 98% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Texas St. vs Texas · Texas 97%
- Also available on Gemini — Texas State vs Texas · Texas 98%
Open markets
Sports
KALSHIShelton vs Shapovalov
- Ben Shelton+18.0pt97%
- Denis Shapovalov-20.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $15M
- 24h Vol
- $14M
KALSHIOmega European Masters Winner
- Thriston Lawrence+19.8pt24.1%
- Keita Nakajima+8.6pt9.8%
- Nacho Elvira+10.1pt9.8%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt45%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt20%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt10%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $20.6M
KALSHINorth Texas vs Indiana
- Indiana99%
- North Texas1%
- Total Vol
- $2.4M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIHeisman Trophy Winner
- Darian Mensah+4.0pt14%
- CJ Carr-1.0pt11%
- Arch Manning10%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $13.3M
- 24h Vol
KALSHICollege Football National Championship Winner
- Notre Dame+1.0pt13%
- Ohio St.-1.0pt12%
- Oregon12%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $22.6M
- 24h Vol
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- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- Pro Baseball Champion
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- Manchester City vs Coventry
- Nakagawa vs Lee
- East Carolina vs Alabama
- Fight Night: Hooker vs Parnasse
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Texas State vs. Texas?
- Polymarket prices Spread -3.5 at 95% as of September 5, 2026.
- When does Texas State vs. Texas resolve?
- Texas State vs. Texas is scheduled to resolve on September 5, 2026.
- How is Texas State vs. Texas settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET: If Texas State wins, the market will resolve to "Texas State".
- Where else is Texas State vs. Texas listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Gemini.