KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Naoki Nakagawa (99%)
Resolved: Sep 5, 2026, 6:07 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Naoki Nakagawa 99%
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.2M
Liquidity
$596.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 9:12 AMSep 5, 26, 6:05 AM
Probability Timeline
Kuan-Yi Lee31%
Naoki Nakagawa99%
99%
1%
Rules
If the named outcome wins the Nakagawa vs Lee professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Urayasu Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Nakagawa vs Lee professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Urayasu Semifinal after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Nakagawa vs Lee?
- Kalshi prices Naoki Nakagawa at 99% as of September 5, 2026.
- When does Nakagawa vs Lee resolve?
- Nakagawa vs Lee is scheduled to resolve on September 5, 2026.
- How is Nakagawa vs Lee settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the Nakagawa vs Lee professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Urayasu Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.