Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Feb 10, 2024, 7:01 AM
Provider-verified resolution
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Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
NoWon
YesLost
Rules
Increasing public attention to American immigration policy has driven Republicans to ensure any potential Ukraine aid bill is paired with changes to US border law.
- A Ukraine aid / border deal was reportedly close to passing as of Jan 22 - however Donald Trump has publicly taken a hard stance against any compromise, jeopardizing the deal.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill containing changes/funding to US border security and at least $5 billion in aid to Ukraine is signed into law by February 9, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Funding for replenishment of US stocks sent to Ukraine counts as Ukraine aid.
- Note: A bill that only contains Ukraine aid, or only contains changes to US border law will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - a bill containing both must be signed into law by the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes."