Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Feb 10, 2024, 7:01 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleJan 26, 24, 12:57 AMFeb 9, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
Increasing public attention to American immigration policy has driven Republicans to ensure any potential Ukraine aid bill is paired with changes to US border law.
- A Ukraine aid / border deal was reportedly close to passing as of Jan 22 - however Donald Trump has publicly taken a hard stance against any compromise, jeopardizing the deal.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill containing changes/funding to US border security and at least $5 billion in aid to Ukraine is signed into law by February 9, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Funding for replenishment of US stocks sent to Ukraine counts as Ukraine aid.
- Note: A bill that only contains Ukraine aid, or only contains changes to US border law will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - a bill containing both must be signed into law by the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes."
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9? resolve?
- Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9? is scheduled to resolve on February 9, 2024.
- How is Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Increasing public attention to American immigration policy has driven Republicans to ensure any potential Ukraine aid bill is paired with changes to US border law.