Current implied probability
Japan 76.2%-13.5pt
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.3K
Liquidity
$6.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
74.0% / 79.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 2:45 AMSep 11, 26, 9:30 AM
Trends
Rules
In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 4 at 5:30AM ET: If the Japan win, the market will resolve to "Japan".
- If the Mali win, the market will resolve to "Mali".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Japan is 76%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Japan 76% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Mali vs Japan · Japan 72%
Open markets
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- Seattle-37.0pt27.7%
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KALSHIIdaho vs Utah
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Japan vs. Mali?
- Polymarket prices Japan at 76% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Japan vs. Mali resolve?
- Japan vs. Mali is scheduled to resolve on September 11, 2026.
- How is Japan vs. Mali settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 4 at 5:30AM ET: If the Japan win, the market will resolve to "Japan".
- Where else is Japan vs. Mali listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.