KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Japan 85.3%-4.0ptVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$9.5K
Liquidity
$10.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
86.0% / 87.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 12:38 AMSep 6, 26, 9:30 AM
Trends
Rules
If Japan wins the Mali vs Japan women's professional FIBA World Cup (W) basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.
- If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Mali wins the Mali vs Japan women's professional FIBA World Cup (W) basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Japan is 87%.
CoinRithm reference Japan 87% · 2 venues · 0 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — Japan vs. Mali · Japan 87%
Open markets
SportsKALSHIZverev vs Halys
- Alexander Zverev-9.0pt74.3%
- Quentin Halys+9.0pt25.7%
- Total Vol
- $13.5M
- 24h Vol
- $13M
KALSHISt. Louis vs Los Angeles D
- St. Louis+30.0pt57.4%
- Los Angeles D-29.0pt42.6%
- Total Vol
- $6.1M
- 24h Vol
- $5.8M
KALSHIOmega European Masters Winner
- Angel Ayora Fanegas+9.0pt10%
- Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra+4.5pt7.3%
- Thriston Lawrence+5.2pt6.4%
+97 more outcomes
KALSHIUAB vs Illinois
- Illinois+2.0pt99%
- UAB-3.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $3.3M
- 24h Vol
- $3.2M
KALSHIA's vs Seattle
- A's+37.0pt72.3%
- Seattle-37.0pt27.7%
- Total Vol
- $3.3M
- 24h Vol
- $3.1M
KALSHIIdaho vs Utah
- Utah99%
- Idaho-1.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.5M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Mali vs Japan?
- Kalshi prices Japan at 85% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Mali vs Japan resolve?
- Mali vs Japan is scheduled to resolve on September 6, 2026.
- How is Mali vs Japan settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Japan wins the Mali vs Japan women's professional FIBA World Cup (W) basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Mali vs Japan listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.