PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Down (100%)
Resolved: Jul 29, 2026, 4:11 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Down
- Recorded
- Jul 29, 2026, 4:35 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityDown 100%+0.5pt
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$20.3K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 4:30 AMJul 29, 26, 4:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Up0%
Down100%
0%
100%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
- The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT).
- The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.
- Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.