PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 12, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability54,000 100%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$969.9K
Liquidity
$743.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 5, 26, 4:00 PMAug 12, 26, 4:00 PM
Probability Timeline
64,0000%
62,00094%
66,0004%
70,0001%
60,00099%
Coin Price Context
Coin price movements are shown for context and do not imply causation.
BTC$64.31K → $63.97K-0.5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
Related Cryptos
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
- Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
- Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.