What will the biggest earthquake be on October 8, 2026?
One-Off22h
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
6.1 or more No observed price
6.1 or more No observed priceMarket quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$191.1
Liquidity
$465.4
Low liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 8, 26, 4:07 AM UTCOct 9, 26, 6:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Rules
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the magnitude of the largest earthquake recorded globally on October 8, 2026, as reported by the USGS Earthquake Catalog.
- Brackets: the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome.
- Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
- The observation period is the UTC calendar day: 00:00 UTC to 23:59 UTC on October 8, 2026.
- An earthquake is assigned to the day containing its origin time.
- Magnitude refers to the USGS preferred magnitude value, listed under 'Magnitude' in the format column.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 8, 2026? · Magnitude of at least 6.0 99%