Settled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Nov 4, 2026, 12:43 AM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 4, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Completed Match 100%-0.5ptLeader of 17 outcomes
Completed Match 100%-0.5ptMarket quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$54.8K
Liquidity
$52.6K
High liquidityOpen interest
$39.2K
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 31, 26, 11:06 PM UTCNov 9, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Completed Match100%
Pagani vs. Dellien: Match O/U 21.5 — Over50%
Pagani vs. Dellien: Match O/U 22.5 — Over50%
Pagani vs. Dellien: Match O/U 23.5 — Over50%
Set 2 Winner: Dante Pagani vs Murkel Dellien — Dante Pagani50%
Dante Pagani vs. Murkel Dellien: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.550%
Dante Pagani0%
Game Spread: Murkel Dellien (-4.5) vs Dante Pagani (+4.5) — Murkel Dellien0%
Pagani vs. Dellien: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — Over50%
Pagani vs. Dellien: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over50%
Pagani vs. Dellien: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — Over50%
Set 1 Winner: Dante Pagani vs Murkel Dellien — Dante Pagani50%
Pagani vs. Dellien: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — Over50%
Pagani vs. Dellien: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — Over50%
Pagani vs. Dellien: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — Over50%
Set Handicap: Dante Pagani (-1.5) vs Murkel Dellien (+1.5) — Dante Pagani50%
Set Handicap: Murkel Dellien (-1.5) vs Dante Pagani (+1.5) — Murkel Dellien50%
Completed Match100%
Pagani vs. Dellien: Match O/U 21.5 — Over100%
Pagani vs. Dellien: Match O/U 22.5 — Over100%
Pagani vs. Dellien: Match O/U 23.5 — Over100%
Dante Pagani0%
Game Spread: Murkel Dellien (-4.5) vs Dante Pagani (+4.5) — Murkel Dellien0%
Set 2 Winner: Dante Pagani vs Murkel Dellien — Dante PaganiWon
Dante Pagani vs. Murkel Dellien: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.5Won
Pagani vs. Dellien: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — OverLost
Pagani vs. Dellien: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — OverLost
Pagani vs. Dellien: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — OverLost
Set 1 Winner: Dante Pagani vs Murkel Dellien — Dante PaganiLost
Pagani vs. Dellien: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — OverLost
Pagani vs. Dellien: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — OverLost
Pagani vs. Dellien: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — OverLost
Set Handicap: Dante Pagani (-1.5) vs Murkel Dellien (+1.5) — Dante PaganiLost
Set Handicap: Murkel Dellien (-1.5) vs Dante Pagani (+1.5) — Murkel DellienLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Nicolas Bruna
PolymarketRolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
PolymarketRolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
PolymarketRolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
PolymarketRolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe
PolymarketRolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
PolymarketRules
This market refers to the tennis match between the named outcome and Murkel Dellien in the Villa Maria, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'the named outcome' if the named outcome advances against Murkel Dellien.
- This market will resolve to 'Murkel Dellien' if Murkel Dellien advances against the named outcome.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
