Settled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Nov 4, 2026, 8:27 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 4, 2026, 8:11 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Completed Match 100%Leader of 16 outcomes
Completed Match 100%Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$561.8K
Liquidity
$324.2K
High liquidityOpen interest
$343.2K
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleNov 4, 26, 12:05 AM UTCNov 11, 26, 6:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Completed Match49%
Michelsen vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 21.5 — Over49%
Michelsen vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — Over26%
Michelsen vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over75%
Michelsen vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — Over73%
Michelsen vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — Over49%
Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Alex Michelsen (+1.5) — Carlos Alcaraz60%
Alex Michelsen16%
Game Spread: Carlos Alcaraz (-4.5) vs Alex Michelsen (+4.5) — Carlos Alcaraz46%
Michelsen vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 22.5 — Over41%
Michelsen vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 23.5 — Over39%
Set 1 Winner: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz — Alex Michelsen24%
Michelsen vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — Over49%
Michelsen vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — Over49%
Set 2 Winner: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz — Alex Michelsen52%
Alex Michelsen vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.50%
Completed Match100%
Michelsen vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 21.5 — Over100%
Michelsen vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — Over100%
Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Alex Michelsen (+1.5) — Carlos Alcaraz100%
Alex Michelsen0%
Game Spread: Carlos Alcaraz (-4.5) vs Alex Michelsen (+4.5) — Carlos Alcaraz0%
Michelsen vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 22.5 — Over0%
Michelsen vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 23.5 — Over0%
Michelsen vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — Over0%
Michelsen vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — Over0%
Set 2 Winner: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz — Alex Michelsen0%
Alex Michelsen vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.50%
Michelsen vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — OverWon
Michelsen vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — OverWon
Michelsen vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — OverWon
Set 1 Winner: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz — Alex MichelsenLost
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between the named outcome and Carlos Alcaraz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 1:00PM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'the named outcome' if the named outcome advances against Carlos Alcaraz.
- This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against the named outcome.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
