This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Resolved: Oct 7, 2026, 6:59 AM
Awaiting verified resolution
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Probability Timeline
Adrian Mannarino53%
Mannarino vs. Basilashvili: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over82%
Set 1 Winner: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili — Adrian Mannarino48%
Game Spread: Nikoloz Basilashvili (-0.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+0.5) — Nikoloz Basilashvili50%
Mannarino vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 21.5 — Over50%
Mannarino vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 22.5 — Over50%
Mannarino vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 23.5 — Over50%
Mannarino vs. Basilashvili: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — Over50%
Mannarino vs. Basilashvili: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — Over50%
Mannarino vs. Basilashvili: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — Over50%
Set 2 Winner: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili — Adrian Mannarino50%
Adrian Mannarino vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.542%
Completed Match60%
Mannarino vs. Basilashvili: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — Over33%
Mannarino vs. Basilashvili: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — Over59%
Set Handicap: Nikoloz Basilashvili (-1.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+1.5) — Nikoloz Basilashvili31%
Adrian MannarinoWon
Before close: 100% ·
Mannarino vs. Basilashvili: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — OverWon
Before close: 100% ·
Set 1 Winner: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili — Adrian MannarinoWon
Before close: 100% ·
Game Spread: Nikoloz Basilashvili (-0.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+0.5) — Nikoloz BasilashviliResolved
Before close: 59% ·
Mannarino vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 21.5 — OverResolved
Before close: 56% ·
Mannarino vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 22.5 — OverResolved
Before close: 41% ·
Mannarino vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 23.5 — OverResolved
Before close: 40% ·
Mannarino vs. Basilashvili: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — OverResolved
Before close: 71% ·
Mannarino vs. Basilashvili: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — OverResolved
Before close: 45% ·
Mannarino vs. Basilashvili: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — OverResolved
Before close: 50% ·
Set 2 Winner: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili — Adrian MannarinoResolved
Before close: 51% ·
Adrian Mannarino vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.5Resolved
Before close: 50% ·
Completed MatchLost
Before close: 0% ·
Mannarino vs. Basilashvili: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — OverLost
Before close: 0% ·
Mannarino vs. Basilashvili: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — OverLost
Before close: 0% ·
Set Handicap: Nikoloz Basilashvili (-1.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+1.5) — Nikoloz BasilashviliLost
Before close: 1% ·
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PolymarketRules
This market refers to the tennis match between the named outcome and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 1:30AM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'the named outcome' if the named outcome advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili.
- This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against the named outcome.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
