This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Resolved: Oct 11, 2026, 6:08 AM
Awaiting verified resolution
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Probability Timeline
Completed Match100%
Karen Khachanov98%
Game Spread: Karen Khachanov (-3.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+3.5) — Karen Khachanov100%
Set 1 Winner: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino — Karen Khachanov100%
Khachanov vs. Mannarino: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — Over100%
Khachanov vs. Mannarino: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — Over100%
Set 2 Winner: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino — Karen Khachanov100%
Set Handicap: Karen Khachanov (-1.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+1.5) — Karen Khachanov100%
Khachanov vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 21.5 — Over0%
Khachanov vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 22.5 — Over0%
Khachanov vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 23.5 — Over0%
Khachanov vs. Mannarino: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — Over0%
Khachanov vs. Mannarino: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over0%
Khachanov vs. Mannarino: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — Over0%
Khachanov vs. Mannarino: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — Over0%
Karen Khachanov vs. Adrian Mannarino: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.50%
Completed MatchWon
Before close: 100% ·
Karen KhachanovWon
Before close: 100% ·
Game Spread: Karen Khachanov (-3.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+3.5) — Karen KhachanovWon
Before close: 100% ·
Set 1 Winner: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino — Karen KhachanovWon
Before close: 100% ·
Khachanov vs. Mannarino: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — OverWon
Before close: 100% ·
Khachanov vs. Mannarino: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — OverWon
Before close: 100% ·
Set 2 Winner: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino — Karen KhachanovWon
Before close: 100% ·
Set Handicap: Karen Khachanov (-1.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+1.5) — Karen KhachanovWon
Before close: 100% ·
Khachanov vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 21.5 — OverLost
Before close: 0% ·
Khachanov vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 22.5 — OverLost
Before close: 0% ·
Khachanov vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 23.5 — OverLost
Before close: 0% ·
Khachanov vs. Mannarino: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — OverLost
Before close: 0% ·
Khachanov vs. Mannarino: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — OverLost
Before close: 0% ·
Khachanov vs. Mannarino: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — OverLost
Before close: 0% ·
Khachanov vs. Mannarino: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — OverLost
Before close: 0% ·
Karen Khachanov vs. Adrian Mannarino: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.5Lost
Before close: 0% ·
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market refers to the tennis match between the named outcome and Adrian Mannarino in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'the named outcome' if the named outcome advances against Adrian Mannarino.
- This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against the named outcome.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
