Settled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Nov 2, 2026, 3:25 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 2, 2026, 6:37 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Completed Match100%
Daniel Merida Aguilar55%
Game Spread: Daniel Merida Aguilar (-3.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+3.5) — Daniel Merida Aguilar100%
Aguilar vs. Baez: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over50%
Aguilar vs. Baez: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — Over50%
Set 1 Winner: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Sebastian Baez — Daniel Merida Aguilar58%
Set 2 Winner: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Sebastian Baez — Daniel Merida Aguilar100%
Set Handicap: Daniel Merida Aguilar (-1.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+1.5) — Daniel Merida Aguilar100%
Aguilar vs. Baez: Match O/U 21.5 — Over0%
Aguilar vs. Baez: Match O/U 22.5 — Over0%
Aguilar vs. Baez: Match O/U 23.5 — Over0%
Aguilar vs. Baez: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — Over50%
Aguilar vs. Baez: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — Over0%
Aguilar vs. Baez: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — Over0%
Aguilar vs. Baez: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — Over0%
Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Sebastian Baez: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.50%
Completed MatchWon
Daniel Merida AguilarWon
Game Spread: Daniel Merida Aguilar (-3.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+3.5) — Daniel Merida AguilarWon
Aguilar vs. Baez: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — OverWon
Aguilar vs. Baez: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — OverWon
Set 1 Winner: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Sebastian Baez — Daniel Merida AguilarWon
Set 2 Winner: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Sebastian Baez — Daniel Merida AguilarWon
Set Handicap: Daniel Merida Aguilar (-1.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+1.5) — Daniel Merida AguilarWon
Aguilar vs. Baez: Match O/U 21.5 — OverLost
Aguilar vs. Baez: Match O/U 22.5 — OverLost
Aguilar vs. Baez: Match O/U 23.5 — OverLost
Aguilar vs. Baez: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — OverLost
Aguilar vs. Baez: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — OverLost
Aguilar vs. Baez: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — OverLost
Aguilar vs. Baez: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — OverLost
Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Sebastian Baez: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.5Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien
PolymarketRolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp
PolymarketRolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov
PolymarketRolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Holger Rune
PolymarketRolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Titouan Droguet
PolymarketRolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot
PolymarketRules
This market refers to the tennis match between the named outcome and Sebastian Baez in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'the named outcome' if the named outcome advances against Sebastian Baez.
- This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against the named outcome.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
