Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Oct 21, 2023, 12:00 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleOct 9, 23, 11:34 PMNov 1, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal is successfully brokered with Hamas for the release of hostages by 11:59 PM ET on November 1, 2023.
- The hostages may be from any country and the deal can be brokered by any entity.
- A "successful deal" is defined as an agreement that results in the release of one or more hostages currently held by Hamas.
- The deal must be verifiable through credible reporting or the respective governments of the hostages.
- If no such deal is brokered by the resolution date, the market will resolve to "No".
- If a deal is brokered before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? resolve?
- Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2023.
- How is Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal is successfully brokered with Hamas for the release of hostages by 11:59 PM ET on November 1, 2023.