Current implied probability
2026 22%-0.2%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$1.7K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-3.4%
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Nov 4, 25, 5:20 PMJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
202622%
Volume trend
$12Jul 62d of dataJul 7
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any S&P 500 company announces between November 4, 12:00 PM ET, and November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a qualifying company announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes").
- The primary resolution source will be official announcements from qualifying companies; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.