3rd largest company end of April?
0.9 pts (24h)
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Apple (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
Apple 100%+0.9ptLeader of 29 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$38.4K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+25.9 pts
Market data
Updated 87 days ago
StaleMar 20, 26, 10:42 PMApr 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Apple100%
Alphabet3%
Microsoft1%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Apple
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $38.4K | $0 | 87 days ago | |
 Manifold Markets85% match · auto | — | 100% | — | — | — | 87 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
3rd largest company by the end of April?
Closed
Resolved
Apple (99.8%)
99.8%
0.1%
0%
+2 more outcomes
Community forecast22 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.