3rd largest company by the end of April?
Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Apple (99.8%)
Resolved: May 1, 2026, 11:30 AM
Provider-verified resolution
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Current community forecastApple 99.8%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
22
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 87 days ago
StaleMar 29, 26, 6:35 AMApr 30, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Alphabet(Google)0.1%
Apple99.8%
Nvidia0.8%
Microsoft0.3%
Other0.2%
0.1%
99.8%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Apple
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall85% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $38.4K | $0 | 87 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 100% | — | — | — | 87 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
3rd largest company end of April?
0.9 ptsClosed
Resolved
Apple (100%)
+0.9pt100%
-0.3pt0%
-0.7pt0%
+26 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$1.1M
24h Vol$38.4K
POLYMARKETRules
This market will resolve to the third largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be https://companiesmarketcap.com
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
This market will resolve to the third largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be https://companiesmarketcap.com