What are the current odds for Will there be more than 10GW of off-earth solar power generation by 2050??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 62% as of October 29, 2026.

Will there be more than 10GW of off-earth solar power generation by 2050?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 62%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Stale

Feb 13, 24, 11:34 AM UTCJan 1, 50, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

This would be for an average, not peak, so after accounting for intermittency.

Credible estimates will be accepted as source to resolve YES.
Solar power does not have to be beamed back, power is counted after conversion to electricity, but before use