Will there be evidence of Tadej Pogacar using carbon monoxide for doping purposes by 2026?
One-OffSports3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 95.3%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJul 19, 24, 9:58 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:59 PM UTC
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There has been speculation about possible doping among Tour de France teams by inhaling low doses of carbon monoxide to simulate the effects of altitude training.
- Teams use CO rebreathers for the legitimate purpose of blood tests, but systematic inhalation would be akin to doping, even though it is not yet actually banned.
- See https://www.reddit.com/r/peloton/comments/1e1m6ud/exclusive_tour_riders_are_inhaling_carbon/ and https://www.sportschau.de/radsport/tourdefrance/umstrittene-methode-inhalation-kohlenmonoxid,tourreporter-102.html
- Among the riders suspected of doping in this way is Tadej Pogacar.
- This market resolves YES if there is tangible evidence by the end of 2026 that Pogacar specifically has been using this method at any point, including if he did so without realizing what's going on or that it's an illegitimate method (although that's hard to imagine).
- "Tangible evidence" as per my judgment.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will there be evidence of Tadej Pogacar using carbon monoxide for doping purposes by 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Will there be evidence of Tadej Pogacar using carbon monoxide for doping purposes by 2026? resolve?
- Will there be evidence of Tadej Pogacar using carbon monoxide for doping purposes by 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will there be evidence of Tadej Pogacar using carbon monoxide for doping purposes by 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: There has been speculation about possible doping among Tour de France teams by inhaling low doses of carbon monoxide to simulate the effects of altitude training.