Will the World Cup MVP be someone who's parents were born in the country they play for?
SportsOne-OffSoccerLatin AmericaFIFA World Cup11dManifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastNo 30.1%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 4, 26, 5:42 PMJul 19, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
No30%
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the winner of the official adidas Golden Ball (the player of the tournament) at the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, which concludes with the final on July 19, 2026.
- The market will resolve to one of the following three options based on the birthplaces of the award winner's biological parents (father and mother) relative to the national team they represented at the tournament (referred to as the "home country"):
- Yes, both parents were born in home country: Both biological parents of the winner were born in the country/territory represented by the player's national team.
- Yes, one parent was born in home country: Exactly one of the biological parents was born in the country/territory represented by the player's national team, while the other parent was born in a different country/territory.
- No: Neither biological parent was born in the country/territory represented by the player's national team.