Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 53.4%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleAug 26, 26, 1:27 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, on or before December 31, 2027, the WNBA or the WNBA/WNBPA joint committee officially updates its Collective Bargaining Agreement (CBA), official rules, or publishes a formal league policy that explicitly defines "woman" or establishes specific eligibility criteria for the female category.
- To qualify as a "definition" for the purpose of this market, the updated policy must explicitly outline the requirements for player eligibility regarding biological sex, sex assigned at birth, gender identity, or medical transition.
- This includes establishing:
- Requirements based on sex assigned at birth, chromosomal/genetic testing, or anatomical criteria.
- Requirements based on hormone levels (e.g., maximum testosterone thresholds).
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the WNBA define what a women is??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 53% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the WNBA define what a women is? resolve?
- Will the WNBA define what a women is? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Will the WNBA define what a women is? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria
