Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:51 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 53.4%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleAug 26, 26, 1:27 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the height of the basket rim in the WNBA change at all by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Enes Kanter play in a WNBA game in the 2027 season?
GeminiWNBA: 2026 Champion
Polymarket🏀Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA) 2026 Regular Season Games Live (plus playoffs)
Manifold MarketsWhich team will win the WNBA championship this season?
Manifold MarketsWNBA Playoffs: Finals MVP
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, on or before December 31, 2027, the WNBA or the WNBA/WNBPA joint committee officially updates its Collective Bargaining Agreement (CBA), official rules, or publishes a formal league policy that explicitly defines "woman" or establishes specific eligibility criteria for the female category.
- To qualify as a "definition" for the purpose of this market, the updated policy must explicitly outline the requirements for player eligibility regarding biological sex, sex assigned at birth, gender identity, or medical transition.
- This includes establishing:
- Requirements based on sex assigned at birth, chromosomal/genetic testing, or anatomical criteria.
- Requirements based on hormone levels (e.g., maximum testosterone thresholds).
