Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 8, 2026, 8:33 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 53.8%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 days ago
StaleApr 2, 26, 10:44 AMJul 1, 31, 2:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes54%
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