Will the first room temperature superconductor be created by humans or AI?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the first room temperature superconductor be created by humans or AI??

Manifold Markets prices AI at 81.1% as of October 18, 2026.

When does Will the first room temperature superconductor be created by humans or AI? resolve?

Will the first room temperature superconductor be created by humans or AI? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.

How is Will the first room temperature superconductor be created by humans or AI? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES to AI if the majority 75%+ of work was done by an AI

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 18, 2026?

• 86° or above+40.0pt99.5%
• 84° to 85°-32.0pt0.5%
• 82° to 83°-4.0pt0.5%

+3 more outcomes

Total Vol

$180K

24h Vol

$158.9K

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 19, 2026?

• Miami60.5%
• Albuquerque52.5%
• West Palm Beach36.5%

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 18, 2026?

• 63° to 64°+39.0pt99.5%
• 61° to 62°-6.0pt0.5%
• 65° to 66°-31.0pt

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 18, 2026?

• 83° to 84°+67.0pt99.5%
• 85° to 86°-15.0pt0.5%
• 81° to 82°-27.0pt

KALSHI

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 18, 2026?

• 65° to 66°+65.0pt99.5%
• 64° or below-1.0pt0.5%
• 69° to 70°-19.0pt

POLYMARKET

Highest temperature in Wellington on October 19?

• 17°C+66.3pt100%
• 12°C or below0%
• 13°C0%

+8 more outcomes

Total Vol

• Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 19?
• Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 84 F on October 18, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
• Highest temperature in Beijing on October 19?
• Highest temperature in Seattle on Oct 18, 2026?
• Highest temperature in Denver on Oct 18, 2026?
• Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 19?
• Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 19?
• Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 19?
• Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 19?
• Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 18, 2026?