Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 66%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 3, 23, 2:30 PM UTCJan 1, 44, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Tadej Pogacar win all 5 monuments during his career?
Manifold MarketsWill Mathieu van der Poel win all 5 monuments during his career?
Manifold MarketsWill Mathieu van der Poel win 10 or more Monuments during his career?
Manifold Markets2027 Pro Football Champion
KalshiBiltmore Championship Asheville Winner
KalshiCollege Football National Championship Winner
KalshiRules
Eddy Merckx currently holds the record for wins in monuments with 19.
- Tadej Pogačar has already won 8.
- Resolves YES if Pogačar wins at least 20 monuments total before he retires.
Open markets
SportsKALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R+2.0pt11%
- Buffalo-1.0pt10.2%
- Baltimore6.8%
+29 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $119.4M
- 24h Vol
- $2.5M
KALSHIBiltmore Championship Asheville Winner
- Neal Shipley+14.0pt43%
- Ben Kohles+8.0pt32%
- Eric Cole+1.1pt6%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBMW PGA Championship Winner
- Rory McIlroy+4.0pt19%
- J.J. Spaun+13.5pt18%
- Manuel Elvira+7.3pt10%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHICollege Football National Championship Winner
- Texas+2.0pt15%
- Georgia12%
- Ohio St.+1.0pt12%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $37.2M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETDota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- Game 1 Winner100%
- Games Total: O/U 2.5 — Over100%
- Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
+30 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
KALSHIAtletico vs Real Madrid
- Real Madrid-3.0pt47.5%
- Atletico+1.0pt27.7%
- Tie+1.0pt24.8%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- Vikings vs. Bears
- Heisman Trophy Winner
- Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- EPL: 2027 Champion
- Manchester City vs Sunderland
- Saints vs. Ravens
- Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC
- PHI Eagles vs TEN Titans
- Bengals vs. Texans
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Sanchez Izquierdo vs Monteiro
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Tadej Pogacar win 20 or more monuments during his career??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 66% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Will Tadej Pogacar win 20 or more monuments during his career? resolve?
- Will Tadej Pogacar win 20 or more monuments during his career? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2044.
- How is Will Tadej Pogacar win 20 or more monuments during his career? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Eddy Merckx currently holds the record for wins in monuments with 19.