Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 74.9%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleApr 1, 24, 8:12 PM UTCOct 15, 40, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Mathieu van der Poel win all 5 monuments during his career?
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Robinhood (Rothera)Rules
The Monuments are five classic cycling races considered the oldest, hardest, longest and most prestigious one-day events: Milan–San Remo, Tour of Flanders, Paris–Roubaix, Liège–Bastogne–Liège, and Giro di Lombardia.
- MvdP has already won 5.
- Resolves YES if he wins at least 10 monuments total before he retires.
Open markets
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- Blades Brown+3.4pt4.7%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Mathieu van der Poel win 10 or more Monuments during his career??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 75% as of September 16, 2026.
- When does Will Mathieu van der Poel win 10 or more Monuments during his career? resolve?
- Will Mathieu van der Poel win 10 or more Monuments during his career? is scheduled to resolve on October 15, 2040.
- How is Will Mathieu van der Poel win 10 or more Monuments during his career? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The Monuments are five classic cycling races considered the oldest, hardest, longest and most prestigious one-day events: Milan–San Remo, Tour of Flanders, Paris–Roubaix, Liège–Bastogne–Liège, and Giro di Lombardia.