Current community forecast
No 95.5%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleMar 21, 24, 2:10 PM UTCJan 1, 33, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Shohei Ohtani: Cy Young and MVP Winner
KalshiWhich awards will Shohei Ohtani win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Shohei Ohtani be inducted into the baseball hall of fame before the end of 2045?
Manifold MarketsShohei Ohtani admitted to the US baseball Hall of fame in his first eligible ballot
Manifold MarketsHow many Home Runs will Shohei Ohtani hit over his career in the MLB?
Manifold MarketsPro Baseball Champion
KalshiRules
His ex-interpreter has massive gambling debts and is accused of stealing from Ohtani to cover them.
- Is he the fall guy for Ohtani? If Ohtani is into gambling, he may not be able to keep away until the end of his 10-year contract ending in 2033.
- Will he be caught next time or did his interpreter really just screw him over and he has no issues with gambling? If he is caught, it would need to be any gambling that is restricted by the MLB, so betting on baseball, betting on sports with illegal/off-shore gambling outfits, etc..
- Would need to be reported from multiple credible news sources to resolve.
- If there is nothing reported at all on this, resolves NO.
