Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 76.2%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 15, 26, 8:18 AM UTCSep 15, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if there is any measurable precipitation recorded in New York City on September 15, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Location/Station of Record: Central Park, NY weather station (Call Sign: KNYC / Station ID: USW00094728).
- Precipitation Threshold: Measurable precipitation is defined as 0.01 inches or greater.
- A recording of 0.00 inches or T (Trace) will resolve to NO.
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
- Seattle+81.0pt99%
- Chicago+21.0pt99%
- Miami-9.0pt54%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $292.1K
- 24h Vol
- $253.8K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 15, 2026?
- 77° to 78°+27.0pt56.4%
- 79° to 80°-11.0pt36.6%
- 81° to 82°-14.0pt3%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 15, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+35.0pt75%
- 94° or above+4.0pt8%
- 88° to 89°-9.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 15, 2026?
- 72° to 73°+39.0pt79.6%
- 70° to 71°-28.0pt13.6%
- 74° to 75°-6.0pt3.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 15, 2026?
- 84° to 85°+4.0pt40.8%
- 86° to 87°+10.0pt28.6%
- 82° to 83°-7.0pt21.4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 16?
- 23°C+49.0pt63.1%
- 24°C-3.5pt32%
- 25°C-32.0pt3.9%
+8 more outcomes
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- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 15, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 16?
- Highest temperature in London on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Madrid on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 16?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 15, 2026?
- Highest temperature in NYC on September 16?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will rain today in New York?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 76% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Will rain today in New York resolve?
- Will rain today in New York is scheduled to resolve on September 15, 2026.
- How is Will rain today in New York settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria