Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 26, 2026, 2:24 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 66.2%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 26 days ago
StaleJun 24, 26, 7:48 PMJul 31, 30, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes66%
Related Markets
2030 FIFA World Cup Champion
$40.9KSpain: 17%
KALSHI
KALSHI
FIFA World Cup Final: U.S. Viewership
$9.5KAbove 60.0M: 22%KALSHI
KALSHI2026 FIFA World Cup prop bets
$2.5KUSA to reach the Quarter-finals or further: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will be the top goalscorer at the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
$1.6KKylian Mbappe: 7.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
2030 FIFA World Cup Qualifiers
$817.1Greece: 70%KALSHI
KALSHIWill Lewandowski play in the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
$750Yes: 9.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds: Kane jumps to 41% in 2026 Ballon d'Or marketBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup finalBlockchain.News
OpenAI quietly adds Kalshi World Cup odds to ChatGPT: ReportCointelegraph
Prediction markets just crushed traditional sportsbooks in a massive $50 billion World Cup breakoutCoindesk
Polymarket odds put Mbappé at 32.5% to win 2026 Ballon d'Or after +5.45ppBlockchain.News
Polymarket Golden Ball odds hold at 50% as Golden Boot race heats upBlockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.