What are the current odds for Will peak plastic production occur within a year of peak oil??

Manifold Markets prices No at 61% as of October 5, 2026.

Will peak plastic production occur within a year of peak oil?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 61%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 9 hours ago

Stale

Sep 16, 26, 5:17 PM UTCDec 31, 35, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolves YES if world peak plastic production occurs on the same, previous, or following year as peak oil production.

Resolves NO if peak plastic occurs two or more years further from the year peak oil is reached.