Will McDonald's open a location in Yerevan, Armenia in 2024?
One-Off
Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Jan 3, 2025, 10:08 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 6:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
NoWon
YesLost
Rules
Currently there is no McDonald's in Armenia.
- This market will be resolved as YES if in year 2024 the McDonald's location is opened in Yerevan and an ordinary person can walk inside and buy some food (the timezone used for this market is Armenia Time, AMT)
- This should be an official location, not the stealing the name.
- If the location is opened in 2024, but then closes this also resolves as YES.
- Will be resolved as NO if there is no McDonald's in Yerevan in 2024.
- (if the location only announced, but not opened this will be resolved as NO; if the location is under construction in 2024 and does not serve food in 2024 this is resolved as NO )