What are the current odds for Will Jack Ma be alive through the end of 2040??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 58.4% as of October 13, 2026.

When does Will Jack Ma be alive through the end of 2040? resolve?

Will Jack Ma be alive through the end of 2040? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2041.

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Will Jack Ma be alive through the end of 2040?

One-Off14y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 58.4%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Stale

Jan 23, 24, 1:48 AM UTCJan 1, 41, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

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Will Jack Ma be alive through the end of 2040?

Will Jack Ma be alive through the end of 2040?

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