Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (99%)
Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, 4:30 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastYes 99%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleJun 18, 26, 3:29 PMAug 16, 26, 4:30 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes99%
No1%
99%
1%
Rules
If Islam wins, this market resolves YES.
- If Ian Garry wins, this market resolves NO.
- If the fight ends in a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.
- If the fight is rescheduled, this market will apply to the later date at the later event and the title will be retitled.
- If the fight is cancelled altogether, this market will resovle N/A. UFC 330 - Wikipedia
