Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 54.1%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJan 24, 24, 4:27 AM UTCJan 1, 45, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Robinhood (Rothera)Rules
Only counting tournament ("basho") wins ("Yusho") as a Yokozuna, for both men, will Hoshoryu win more than Kirishima?
- If they win tournaments as an Ozeki, none of those count.
- This should roughly translate to "Will Hoshoryu both become a Yokozuna and have a better run at it than Kirishima?"
- Resolves Yes as soon as Kirishima is retired and Hoshoryu has more wins as Yokozuna.
- Resolves No as soon as Hoshoryu retires with equal or fewer wins as Yokozuna than Kirishima.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Hoshoryu win more grand sumo tournaments as a Yokozuna than Kirishima does??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 54% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Will Hoshoryu win more grand sumo tournaments as a Yokozuna than Kirishima does? resolve?
- Will Hoshoryu win more grand sumo tournaments as a Yokozuna than Kirishima does? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2045.
- How is Will Hoshoryu win more grand sumo tournaments as a Yokozuna than Kirishima does? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Only counting tournament ("basho") wins ("Yusho") as a Yokozuna, for both men, will Hoshoryu win more than Kirishima?