Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth?
One-OffWeather3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 89.3%
No 89.3%Forecasters
27
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleJan 13, 24, 5:42 PM UTCJan 13, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.
- For 2023, Berkeley Earth reported global warming was 1.54 °C. This question resolves YES if Berkeley Earth reports that annual average warming is equal to or higher than 2.00 degrees Celsius for any year before 2030 (i.e. 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, or 2029).
