Will global greenhouse gas emissions in 2026 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will global greenhouse gas emissions in 2026 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025??

Manifold Markets prices No at 59.1% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will global greenhouse gas emissions in 2026 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025? resolve?

Will global greenhouse gas emissions in 2026 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.

How is Will global greenhouse gas emissions in 2026 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If there is substantial disagreement across sources as to whether global greenhouse gas emissions were lower in 2026 than in 2025, question resolution will defer to Our World in Data: https://ourworldindata.org/greenhouse-gas-emissions

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KALSHI

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 27, 2026?

• 74° to 75°+70.0pt99.5%
• 76° to 77°-62.0pt0.5%
• 78° or above-6.0pt0.5%

+3 more outcomes

Total Vol

$288.1K

24h Vol

$262.4K

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 28, 2026?

• Seattle97%
• Minneapolis93%
• West Palm Beach85%

POLYMARKET

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 28?

• 20°C+46.0pt100%
• 14°C or below0%
• 15°C0%

+8 more outcomes

Total Vol

POLYMARKET

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 28?

• 27°C+65.4pt100%
• 22°C or below0%
• 23°C0%

+8 more outcomes

Total Vol

POLYMARKET

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 28?

• 12°C+39.8pt99%
• 13°C-24.6pt1%
• 10°C-0.6pt0%

+8 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Highest temperature in Beijing on October 28?

• 16°C+52.4pt99%
• 17°C-8.7pt1%
• 10°C0%

+8 more outcomes

• Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 28?
• Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 27, 2026?
• Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 28?
• Highest temperature in NYC on October 28?
• Highest temperature in Singapore on October 28?
• Highest temperature in Wellington on October 28?
• Highest temperature in Paris on October 28?
• Highest temperature in Helsinki on October 28?
• Highest temperature in Seattle on Oct 27, 2026?
• Highest temperature in Chongqing on October 28?