Will commercial fusion plants deliver grid electricity from seawater deuterium by EOY 2035?
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Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 75%
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Updated 13 hours ago
StaleFeb 22, 26, 9:53 PM UTCDec 31, 35, 11:59 PM UTC
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Will we have abundant clean energy from seawater-fusion power plants on the grid by EOY 2035?
- Credible sources (CFS/DOE announcements, Bloomberg/Reuters, independent audits, or major scientific reports) confirm at least one fusion plant is grid-connected and has supplied net electricity commercially by Dec 31, 2035.
- Abundant clean energy” is demonstrated by the plant operating at meaningful commercial scale (>50 MW) and showing the clear path to dramatically lower energy costs.