What are the current odds for Will "Arbitrum" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 90.6% as of October 10, 2026.

Will "Arbitrum" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 90.6%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Stale

Dec 11, 22, 4:31 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC

Outcome24hChance

Rules

This market is part of a series of markets realizing a prediction from footnote 7 of this ACX post, regarding the projects in this list.

This market resolves "YES" if "Arbitrum" is widely considered to be a scam by 2030.
I will resolve the market according to my judgement, following the principle laid out by Scott: Being a scam "... doesn’t mean they won’t fail, or go down in value, or that you can never write a sentence accusing them of being bad in some way, just that they’re not going to rug-pull anyone or collapse in a way they claimed there was no chance they could do".

What are the current odds for Will "Arbitrum" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030??: Manifold Markets prices No at 90.6% as of October 10, 2026.
When does Will "Arbitrum" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030? resolve?: Will "Arbitrum" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.
How is Will "Arbitrum" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market is part of a series of markets realizing a prediction from footnote 7 of this ACX post, regarding the projects in this list.

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