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Will a specific highly-ranked team (e.g., France, Spain, Argentina or Eng) win the championship match in regular time?

SportsOne-OffSoccer Latin America FIFA World Cup5d

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

France wins in regular time 13.8%-2.9%

Leader of 6 outcomes

Forecasters

2

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Jul 13, 26, 11:00 PMJul 19, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

France wins in regular time14%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the official outcome of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final, scheduled to take place on July 19, 2026, at MetLife Stadium.
Regular time is defined as the 90 minutes of standard play plus any referee-added stoppage/injury time at the end of both halves.
It explicitly excludes extra time (the two 15-minute overtime periods) and penalty shootouts.
Exactly one of the following options will resolve to YES, and all others will resolve to NO:
France wins in regular time: France plays in the final and leads the score at the end of regular time.

Volume trend

$102

Jul 132d of dataJul 14

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Rules

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the official outcome of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final, scheduled to take place on July 19, 2026, at MetLife Stadium.
Regular time is defined as the 90 minutes of standard play plus any referee-added stoppage/injury time at the end of both halves.
It explicitly excludes extra time (the two 15-minute overtime periods) and penalty shootouts.
Exactly one of the following options will resolve to YES, and all others will resolve to NO:
France wins in regular time: France plays in the final and leads the score at the end of regular time.