What are the current odds for Will Tokyo get a Major League Baseball team before 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 94.4% as of October 30, 2026.

Will Tokyo get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 94.4%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 17 hours ago

Stale

Apr 19, 23, 1:48 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:01 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Apr 18, 7:52pm: Will a city in Japan get a Major League Baseball team before 2030? → Will Tokyo get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?

This market resolves YES after the MLB officially announces that a team will be based in Tokyo and that team plays a home game.
Only the official announcement needs to occur before 1 January 2030; the home game may occur after 1 January 2030.