[40k liquidity] 2025 Tour de France Winner?
Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Tadej Pogacar (65%)
Resolved: Jul 27, 2025, 7:07 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastTadej Pogacar 65%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
88
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 179 days ago
StaleJun 11, 25, 5:09 PMJul 5, 25, 11:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Tadej Pogacar65%
Jonas Vingegaard25%
Remco Evenepoel4.8%
Other5.1%
65%
25%
5.1%
4.8%
Rules
The list of recent winners:
- 2024: the named outcome 2023: the named outcome 2022: the named outcome 2021: the named outcome 2020: the named outcome 2019: Egan Bernal 2018: Geraint Thomas
- The 'winner' will be based on the rider awarded the trophy for the general classification at the podium presentation at the conclusion of the final stage.
- If there is no podium presentation but there is an announcement of the winner, this resolves based on the first person announced by the race organizer to be the winner.
- Changes after the final winner is announced (e.g. late disqualification) will not change the result of this market.
- There is another similar market with more options and less liquidity here:
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for [40k liquidity] 2025 Tour de France Winner??
- Manifold Markets prices Tadej Pogacar at 65% as of February 23, 2026.
- When does [40k liquidity] 2025 Tour de France Winner? resolve?
- [40k liquidity] 2025 Tour de France Winner? is scheduled to resolve on July 5, 2025.
- How is [40k liquidity] 2025 Tour de France Winner? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The list of recent winners: