When does [40k liquidity] 2025 Tour de France Winner? resolve?

[40k liquidity] 2025 Tour de France Winner? is scheduled to resolve on July 5, 2025.

How is [40k liquidity] 2025 Tour de France Winner? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The list of recent winners:

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Tadej Pogacar (65%)

Resolved: Jul 27, 2025, 7:07 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 243 days ago

Stale

Jun 11, 25, 5:09 PM UTCJul 5, 25, 11:00 AM UTC

Probability Timeline

Tadej Pogacar65%

Jonas Vingegaard25%

Remco Evenepoel4.8%

Other5.1%

Tadej Pogacar

Won

Jonas Vingegaard

Lost

Other

Lost

Remco Evenepoel

Lost

Rules

The list of recent winners:

2024: the named outcome 2023: the named outcome 2022: the named outcome 2021: the named outcome 2020: the named outcome 2019: Egan Bernal 2018: Geraint Thomas
The 'winner' will be based on the rider awarded the trophy for the general classification at the podium presentation at the conclusion of the final stage.
If there is no podium presentation but there is an announcement of the winner, this resolves based on the first person announced by the race organizer to be the winner.
Changes after the final winner is announced (e.g. late disqualification) will not change the result of this market.
There is another similar market with more options and less liquidity here: